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小鸟读书会第四十五期:组织犯罪、暴力和政治
2019-06-03 06:16  

讲座题目:Alesina, Alberto, Salvatore Piccolo, and Paolo Pinotti (2016). Organized Crime, Violence and Politics,Working Paper.

主持:李永涛博士

主讲:刘小玄,国际关系学院,研究生一年级

时间:2019年06月04日,星期二,17:30-19:00

地点:蒲河校区则行楼417会议室 

论文摘要

We develop a model explaining how criminal organizations strategically use pre-electoral violence as a way of influencing electoral results and politicians’ behavior. We then characterize the incentives to use such violence under different levels of electoral competition and different electoral rules. Our theory is consistent with the empirical evidence with in Sicily and across Italian regions. Specifically, the presence of organized crime is associated with abnormal spikes in violence against politicians before elections — particularly when the electoral outcome is more uncertain — which in turn reduces voting for parties opposed by criminal organizations. Using a very large data set of parliamentary debates, we also show that violence by the Sicilian Mafia reduces anti-Mafia efforts by members of parliament appointed  in Sicily, particularly from the parties that traditionally oppose the Mafia.


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中国 沈阳 辽宁大学转型国家经济政治研究中心 2016 版权所有
Copyright Research Center for the Economies and Politics of Transitional Countries (RCEPTC),Liaoning University All Rights Reserved
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